2010 EMMY PREDICTIONS AND PICKS
August 29th 2010 18:10
The Emmys are tonight. My hope? My dream? Aaron Paul takes home an Emmy. WIll it happen? I don't think so but I can dream can't I? The only person who does not have a shot at winning is Roger Slattery. And Michael Emerson in my opinion. Everyone else has a shot. Terry O'Quinn played 2 characters this season and the Lost actors have the luxury of submitting episodes that are showcases for them based on the structure of the show. The Emmys love Andre Braugher. Plus; apparently Martin Short is incredible on Damages an the Emmys (and acting awards in general) love acknowledging comedic veterans taking dramatic turns. However, many people who have seen all 6 performances are saying that Paul apparently deserves it which does not surprise me because...duh. He submitted "Half Measures" as his episode. A smart choice but honestly "Full Measures" is a companion piece and what he does in those two episodes needs to be seen to appreciate. In fact, Paul's work is so incredible because of his arc this season. What Jesse goes through and where he ends needs to be seen to appreciate the work. The same could be said for every actor though. At least he is in the same boat with everyone else. All I know is I want him to win more than anything else tonight. Watch; within the first five minutes they will do the award, it will go to O'Quinn and the show will continue; my heart broken as a result and entirely not in the mood to continue watching. : (
Picks:
Comedy Series:
This is a race between 30 Rock, Glee and Modern Family. The two new shows will split votes I think but one of them will win. My gut is saying Glee but if it has to be between the two I'd rather Modern Family and I actually can see more Emmy voters going that way. The funny thing is I watch Glee and not Modern Family but I think that Glee is entertaining but so incredibly flawed and messy overall that it should not win.
Will Win: Modern Family
Should Win: Curb Your Enthusiasm
Drama Series:
This is Mad Men's to take home but I could see The Good Wife pulling an upset. It is the type of show the Emmys go for plus Mad Men won two years in a row. While I think Breaking Bad had the superior season, if Mad Men takes it I'll be very happy as it deserves any award it gets.
Will Win: Mad Men
Should Win: Breaking Bad
Actress in a Drama Series:
I have only seen Jones' work so I cannot pick a should win. As far as I'm concerned though, this is a lock.
Will Win: Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
Actor in a Drama Series:
I feel fairly confidant about picking Michael C. Hall to take this. He won the Golden Globe, the SAG, has recovered from cancer, put forth his strongest season of work on the show AND has a previous show's worth of excellence with Six Feet Under which went unfairly recognized. He has the momentum behind him even though Cranston has won two years in a row and continues to just get better. Of course, Jon Hamm deserves recognition at some point for his work on Mad Men (which truly is something else).
Will Win: Michael C. Hall, Dexter
Should Win: (If Hall, Fox or Hamm wins I will be very happy) Bryan Cranston
Supporting Actor in a Drama Series:
You know where I stand on this. Short will take it and while I think Quinn's work on the final season of Lost was magnificent, it's Paul all the way for me. Most people are saying O'Quinn though so now I am second guessing myself.
Will Win: Terry O'Quinn, Lost
Should Win: Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad
Supporting Actress in a Drama Series:
I have no idea what to do with this one. None at all. Some people are picking Hendricks which would be lovely. I'll do that too. Have only seen Moss and Hendricks so I won't do a Should Win. (I only do if I've seen 3 or more)
Will Win: Christina Hendricks, Mad Men
Actress in a Comedy Series:
Toni Collette is a strong contender. So is Falco and I think the two Showtime gals might cancel each other out. Even so, I'm going with Edie Falco because it's Edie Falco.
Will Win: Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series:
I think the Modern Family people might split votes and every time Cryer gets awarded I become more perplexed so I will assume this tradition will continue.
Will Win: Jon Cryer, Two and a Half Men
Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series:
This is a LOCK.
Will Win: Jane Lynch, Glee
TV Movie:
Will Win: Temple Grandin
Miniseries:
Will Win: The Pacific
Lead Actress in a Miniseries or TV Movie:
Will Win: Claire Danes, Temple Grandin
Lead Actor in a Miniseries or TV Movie:
Will Win: Al Pacino, You Don't Know Jack
Supporting Actress in a Miniseries or TV Movie:
Will Win: Susan Sarandon, You Don't Know Jack
Supporting Actor in a Miniseries or TV Movie:
Will Win: Patrick Stewart, Hamlet
Variety, Music or Comedy Series:
This is really tough. Do I think they will give it to Conan? I kind of do but I won't be surprised if they continue to give it to The Daily Show
Will Win: A reluctant The Tonight Show with Conan O'Brien
Reality-Competition Program:
Will Win: The Amazing Race
Writing for a Drama Series:
Will Win: Damon Lindelof and Carlton Cuse, "The End", Lost
Should Win: Damon Lindelof and Carlton Cuse, "The End", Lost. As lukewarm as I am towards the last ten minutes and to the season as a whole, the finale, for me, was superb and mostly everything I wanted it to be.
Writing for a Comedy Series:
Will Win: Ryan Murphy, Brad Falchuk and Ian Brennan, "Pilot - The Director's Cut", Glee
Directing for a Drama Series:
Will Win: Jack Bender, "The End", Lost
Should Win: I cannot deny the brilliance of Michelle McLaren's work for "One Minute", Breaking Bad. Also, Lesli Linka Glatter's pitch perfect handling of the lawnmower incident is an achievement unto itself for "Guy Walks into an Advertising Agency".
Directing for a Comedy Series:
Will Win: "Pilot - Director's Cut", Ryan Murphy, Glee
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