Rizzo

Melbourne, Victoria, AUSTRALIA


Joined November 3rd 2007

Number of Posts:
39

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About Me
My Names Ryan,
Im a freelance sport journalist
Crazy about AFL, Cricket and sport in general
I commentate VFL football, and Local Cricket
I have worked for 5 media agencies around Victoria

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Brisbane V Geelong Game Preview

April 30th 2008 07:47
The year so far

Geelong
Geelong is so far undefeated in 2008 but hasn’t been in the best form. They are yet to play a solid 4 quarters which is worrying. Have had two lucky wins the past two weeks, just getting past Fremantle and Sydney. Their forward line is relying heavily on its smalls and midfielders with Mooney in poor form and Hawkins playing up the ground.

Brisbane
Has been unlucky is its games so far this year. Should have won more then they have but have been impressive against Port Adelaide and Melbourne. The port game showed that the lions are still a class outfit and one you can’t afford to relax against. Their defense boasts no big names, but they do the job every week.

Who is missing
Geelong

Brad Ottens – The cats need a quality ruckman desperately. It showed against Fremantle where Sandilands dominated. Ottens would have been very handy to combat Luenberger and Charman.

Matthew Egan – AA defender is still 8 weeks away. Kept Brown quiet last time he played them, and he will be sorely missed.

Tom Harley – Picked up a Glute injury last week against fremantle. Can play both tall and small. If he doesn’t come up Geelong will miss him heaps, as they need to find another option for Brown or Bradshaw.

Brisbane

Josh Drummond- They need his run and carry from defense, especially against Geelong. Since he has missed Brisbane at times look a bit confused when running with the ball. He certainly straightens them out.

Nigel Lappin – A chance to come back into the team this week and they will need him. Quality player and user of the ball. If he comes back it is more quality service into the Brisbane forward line. At times disposal was poor to Brown last week, and you can be sure when Lappin is in the team that won’t happen.


Possible Changes
Geelong
Out:

Tom Harley – He is likely to miss a week with his glute injury.

IN:

Max Rooke- Next best defender to come in. Tom Lonergan is also a chance to come in, however Rooke seems more likely.

Brisbane


Key Matchups
Luenberger/Charman V Blake/Mumford
Looms as a match winning matchup. If Luen and Chars can get the ball to the likes of Black/Power then Brisbane will be impossible to stop. Geelong have shown a weakness so far against quality ruck work.

Brown V Taylor
Was impressive against Brown in the preseason so should get the first shot. Brown has been in poor form and a good game isn’t to far away. Taylor got taught a football lesson b Pavlich last week, so we will see how his confidence is.

Bradshaw V Scarlett
Bradshaw is in stunning form kicking 4 goals in every game for a month. Scarlo is Scarlo so a ripper match up is on hand.

Black V Ling
Black is in Brownlow form and ling has been solid so far. Vital to shut black down if Geelong are going to win.

Merret V Hawkins
Merret will have to get on his skates because Hawkins loves to run up the ground. Two big gorillas going head to head. Should be a gem.

Patful V Mooney
Patful seems likely to take mooney with his athleticism. Moons hasn’t been in the best form infront of goals and will be looking for a big one.



Gameplan

Geelong
Geelong will want to play hard accountable football. When Brisbane have the ball they need to get numbers back to help Taylor and Scarlett. Milburn will be vital in this and should zone off his man. When Geelong have the ball they will look to run Brisbane of their feet with quick movement of the ball up the corridor and get the ball to Mooney/Hawkins before Brisbane get their men back. A 3rd man up will be used in the ruck. Must be careful of Joel Corey who generally will be the player to do it.

Brisbane
Will look to get the ball quick to Brown and Bradshaw. I think they will spread their forwards out to make it harder for the likes of Milburn and Mackie to get back and Help Taylor and Scarlett. We will see two tall forwards and a crumber with the rest pushing well up the ground, to give the players some space to work into. They will try and play SJ and Gamble well away from the corridor because they love getting to the fall of the Ball in the marking contests.

Prediction
Brisbane have been in great form and the injury toll is starting to mount on Geelong. This will be Geelong’s best test of character. Lethal knows what Geelong will be going through and will play on that, while bomber will be pushing the players to be selfless in their game and give their defense a hand. If its sunny then I can see Brisbane getting up in a close one. However Showers are predicted for Skilled Stadium which will see Geelong get up by 2 goals
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Kennelly to quit Swans

April 4th 2008 06:34


Sydney premiership player and star Tadhg Kennelly is set to quit the Swans and return home to Ireland once his contract expires in 2009.

After spending 9 years in Australia, he thinks its time to go home and join Gaelic Football club Kerry, where he will try and win an All Ireland Medal.

"I'm definitely going home next year to try to win an All-Ireland medal," Kennelly told the Irish Mail .

"I will always miss Aussie rules and I won't cut my ties to Australia, but I want to win an All-Ireland with Kerry."

It seems the decision has coincided with his fathers passing, who was also a All Ireland champion at Kerry. However Tadgh has made it well known he has battled home sickness since arriving in Australia.

He also told the Irish Mail, had Gaelic Football been professional he would not have left his homeland, but said Gaelic needed to remain amature.

"Aussie rules is a franchise business … but Irish sport is completely different. In Ireland, players compete for their counties, their local clubs and their families. There is more passion and players are driven by a different culture."
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Picture this:

A player is having a break out year and has dominated the first two rounds. You don't have him in your team but you trade one of your stars thinking this player is going to continue on his merry way scoring 100's. Slowly his scores drop. Round 3 he scores 90, Round 4 he picks up an average 60, and from then on its 50's. Your blood boils, frustrated you have to waste another precious trade to get him out of your team. The fact is that you have been hit with the Brennan Factor.

The Brennan Factor happens every year, and thousands of people always get caught out. But why?? Surely there is something we can do to stop this evil in Supercoach and DreamTeam from ruining our dreams.

The phenomenon I like to call the "Brennan Factor", Is when a player has a blinder two rounds, and is dirt cheap. However the player then slides as soon as you put him in your team and you are cursed with poor performances until you can trade him out.

It is named after the master, Jared Brennan, who over his career has cost SCer's and DTer's thousands of dollars and heaps of trades.

While the temptation of a cheap player scoring at the same price as a 400k player is great, the fact is not many players indeed continue on.

It is after round 2 that this really has an effect on players and it is now that you have to be extra careful not to get caught out, or you will be forever wasting money and trades to get them out of your team.

So... What do you look out for so you don't get caught out again and again and again?

I have compiled a list of things you should look out for before you indeed trade that cheap star in.

1. Past History
History is everything in Fantasy Football, especially when trying to avoid the Brennan factor. You should look and see if this scoring has come out of the blue and if they have had a history of doing a Brennan Before.

It can also be used to see if a player has had a steady rise in scoring. if this is the case a Brennan is less likely as history has shown they have made increases in their scoring capacity.

www.fanfooty.com.au is the best source to find a players scoring history.

2. Consistency
Is this player a consistent scorer or are they having a purple patch? Again look at their past scores, if they have been inconsistent, this player is most likely having a purple patch.

3. Role in the team
Is this player likely to be moved around? Just because he has played well at FF doesn't mean he won't be moved back to his poor scoring days at FB. If in doubt, don't select.

4. New Player
The best thing is to keep away from new players who has started well. Even though your bench players may not be keeping up in scoring terms, to trade a bench player out is just a waste. It's better to miss the boat totally and save some trades.

You also will find that they are inconsistent in their scoring, so a few weeks pulling low scores can be as frustrating as hell.

Finally, here are some players I suspect will become Brennan Factors

Super Coach:

Backs:

Brett Thornton
Current Avg: 126
'07 Avg: 75

Michel Osbourne
Current Avg: 117
'07 Avg: 56

Nathan Bock
Current Avg: 121
'07 Avg: 73


Centers:

Joel MacDonald
Current Avg: 116
'07 Avg: 74

Travis Tuck
Current Avg: 85
'07 Avg: 35

James Kelly
Current Avg: 112
'07 Avg: 78

Forwards

Josh Hill
Current Avg: 109
'07 Avg: 19

Paul Medhurst
Current Avg: 102
'07 Avg: 60

Matt Campbell
Current Avg: 101
'07 Avg: 49

Dream Team:

Backs:

Nathan Carrol
Current Avg: 84
'07 Avg: 52

Leo Barry
Current Avg: 84
'07 Avg: 66

Josh Hunt
Current Avg: 76
'07 Avg: 64

Centers:

Bryce Gibbs
Current Avg: 83
'07 Avg: 58

Jarrad McVeigh
Current Avg: 80
'07 Avg: 60

Forwards

Stuart Dew
Current Avg: 85
'07 Avg: 62

Warren Tredrea
Current Avg: 76
'07 Avg: 57

Lindsay Thomas
Current Avg: 73
'07 Avg: 45
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Round 3 Teams

April 3rd 2008 13:33
Western Bulldogs v St. Kilda
7.40pm @ Telstra Dome

[ Click here to read more ]
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Round 2 - AFL TEAMS

March 27th 2008 16:15
BRISBANE LIONS v COLLINGWOOD
Friday, March 28 8.40PM AEDT, Gabba

[ Click here to read more ]
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SC & DT Notes: Geelong VS Richmond

March 7th 2008 13:41
So we know where Richmond are heading for 2008, but what does it mean for Dream Team and Super Coach?

Today I attended the game with one aim, and one aim only. To find out who could be possibilities for your teams in 2008


[ Click here to read more ]
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So now you have your team, and 30 blanks spots and you don't know what to do? You have looked at the cash cow topic and have outlined your bench, but before you select your guns you want some good cheap players to fill those extra spots


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Sam Newman Critcally Ill

March 5th 2008 07:07


News tonight has surfaced that AFL and Geelong Legend Sam Newman is critically ill in hospital


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NAB Cup / Regional Squads

March 5th 2008 06:22
NAB Challenge match
Collingwood versus Hawthorn
7pm (AEDT), Friday, March 7, in Shepparton


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Fantasy Footy Guide: Trading

March 5th 2008 02:34
When to Trade?
Trading is vital to every team, and for success you need to trade well. But when is it the best time to trade?

[ Click here to read more ]
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Recent Comments

Comment by Rizzo
on Fantasy Footy Guide: Trading

March 5th 2008 04:08
Actually mate. Its been posted. Check out the blog on cash cows. There are players there that look good.

Comment by Rizzo
on Fantasy Footy Guide: Trading

March 5th 2008 04:02
Hey mate.

Sure there are a few that i am keeping an eye on. tomorrow will be the day to check. I have a good blog going up about that exact topic. Which Youngsters to take.

It will be a very worth while read. I am outlining 4 players from each position that should be considered.

Ill check your blog out now. Hope your enjoying the site

Comment by Rizzo
on AFL Central Mock Draft Picks 41 - 75

November 28th 2007 09:33
yeah i agree, i was surprised when his name wasn't called out

Another yawn fest this series i feel