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Real estate bubble - by Robin

feb 2008

February 8th 2008 05:55
Okay, so the crash is happening. The speed at which these dominoes economies will tuble will come down so fast, civilisation will ask, "What Happened"?

Hah, lets see if doom;s day will come.

For me, I feel it is a matter of when.

2012.
After 2012, it is not a good time to buy stocks.

2008
This year will be a Bad year for anything.
Inflation will go up, economy will standstill.
Yes, stagflation is the word.
Will come true.

Then what?Transfer of wealth.
Certain parts of the property market in the World might go up, whereas the rest will go down. Very typical of the Rich getting Richer, the Poor getting Poorer.


Okay, so what can the common folks do?
Get educated. Financially. That's one way.
Talk and get to know the rich, that's another.
Be Rich., That's always the favourite option.

My bet, do all three.
That's the best bet.



No it's not easy, but it is way more fun than sitting down in front of your computer, or TV, or naysayers, negativem sacarstic, dumb ass bunch of friends complaning about the stock market, the boss, the colleagues, the inflation, the stagflation, the boom, the bust, the bus, the sauce, the whatever.

Or reading some nonesense blogs.

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Your text goes herePlease check out my site to acces the articles

To the right, under Resources, click Articles. Go to articles 2 on money week update.
If you would like to read subscriber's articles from money week, pls do email me.

Right now, DOW is thinking, a housing crash or not?
The dollar crash will definitely add more weight to the bulls.
If China abondons the US dollar for GOLD, crash comes the DOW again. The selloff we saw on monday was indefinitely due to a dollar sell off.

To save the day (US dollar), the FED might need to raise interest rates. If so, the dollar will crash further. Will the Fed raise? If it does, inflation will be the given reason. And a good reason too. Notice crude Oil? Its inchinging up, surely but slowly. Higher oil prices can eat into consumer spending. And that is bad debts and home loans failure aside mind you. Really, a FED raise will signal a crash for sure.
So, i think the FED won;t raise, and that's what the market is saying. Fine. But will the bulls win? Christmas rally? What's the reason? Transports are down. Today, GDP will show. If it is below market expectation, where's the cause for the bull? Who is buying when most rational investors are probably in cash by now. Hedge Funds? So if they buy, they create a false sense of security again? I hope not. Not this time. Volatility QQQ index is up above 15. We'll see where Volatility goes.
Mergers. Anyone has got any take on its impact on the economy? Good for sure. Bad for sure too.

Hope the DOW go does tonite. Its making me sick seeing it go on like this.(coz i bought a 'put' warrant)

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From Alan Greenspan's speech, real estate prices will probably bottom out 2 years later, in 2008. Falling prices to affect Canada next. Think, what about property bubbles in China and South East Asia, eg, Singapore? No, the resort might not save the day.

By mid 2007, markets will probably disgest the news that US economy is in a recession.

Consumer sentiments in US will be low. No buying power. Will affect gobal demand. Remember, US is 20% of world's GDP, and consumer spending is roughly 70%. Consumer spends less because of bad loans and bankruptcy.

Over supply of China goods and no ready buyers. Very dangerous. If China slows down, this can bring large unemployment to the world.

And always check the Gold and Oil prices. There are currently range bound now, ready to explode in some directions. If they both go up, then that's the end of the world, as we know it. Banks collapsing, bad debts, bank runs, etc. Possible don't you think, when consumers throughout the world has so much loans, many times of annual earning power. Errie. When will this all happen? Some say signs will start when there is evidence of wage inflation. And when evident, the FED has no choice but to raise interest rates. Raise interest rates when the housing bubble is collapsing? Yes, what do you think?

And i am not even being pessimistic. I am 26, maybe if there is really a crash and global panic, that sort, we can all hold cash, and buy fleet of boats for $1? Haha, yes, provided you don;t lose your cash now in the Stock markets. Leveraging destroys eventually. God Bless America.

Now i am depressed.
So when will the crash happen?
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