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Oklahoma City at New Orleans

November 16th 2012 11:39
Recap from last night: Luck was finally on my side last night. If you were able to grab Brooklyn -3 first thing yesterday you got the win like I did. If you waited on the line movement until it got to -5 then it was a push. Letís hope this is a sign of me turning things around now as I am 4-9 on the season down 5.9 units. Here is what I like tonight.

Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Hornets

Current Line: Oklahoma City -6
Current O/U line: 187

Oklahoma City enters tonightís contest looking to get back to winning ways after having their five game winning streak snapped last game by Memphis.

Oklahoma Cityís offense has been impressive thus far on the season averaging 98.9 points per game. On the downside they have averaged just 91 points per game on the road. OKC sits in the top 10 in most offensive categories. The Thunder are 3rd for field goal percentage (47.3%), 4th for three points percentage (39.6%), 1st for free throw percentage (84.3%) and 8th for points per game. Leading the offense for the Thunder this season is Kevin Durant (24.2 PPG, 10.3 RPG), Russell Westbrook (20.7 PPG, 8.1 APG) and Kevin Martin (16.0 PPG).

Oklahoma Cityís defense has not been all that bad either. The Thunder is allowing 93.7 points per game while opponents are shooting just 41.8% from the field and 31.4% from beyond the arc against them. Another strength that OKC has had is keeping their opponents off the boards. The Thunder are allowing just 48.6 rebounds per game to their opponents ranking them 6th in the league.

New Orleans comes into tonightís game still trying to find a winning rhythm. The Hornets win one then lose one. New Orleans lost their last time in Houston by four as a 6.5 points underdog. New Orleans is 5-1 ATS this season thus far.

New Orleans is not a high powered offensive team. The Hornets play a slow place game with plenty of defense which seems to be working for them this season since they have only lost one game this season by more than six points. New Orleans is averaging 89.5 points per game this season in which they are shooting 43.2% from the field and just 29.8% from beyond the arc. New Orleans has though been successful on their trips to the free throw line in which they are shooting 80.5% ranking them 4th in the league. Leading the Hornets offense this season is Ryan Anderson (16.0 PPG, 8.8 RPG), Anthony Davis (15.0 PPG, 7.0 RPG and 2.8 BPG) and Greivis Vasquez (12.3 PPG, 8.8 APG).

The defensive side of the floor has been New Orleans strength this season. The Hornets are allowing 90.5 points per game this season. Opponents have struggled shooting the ball against New Orleans in which the Hornets have allowed averages of 42.6% from the field and 29.2% from beyond the arc. Opponents have averaged 51.3 rebounds per game on this Hornets team this season.

This is one of those games where bettors have no problem backing the Thunder. OKC is the defending Western Conference Champs and have started the season strong yet again and will be looking to take some frustration out on a Hornets team after their loss to Memphis. The problem though for those bettors is they will be on the wrong side of this game. New Orleans is a much improved team this season and you are seeing that from the line in this game. These two teams played three times last season and two of those three games New Orleans was a double digit dog. New Orleans will slow the pace down in this game and try to force OKC to come out of their rhythm and make them play at the Hornets pace. The Thunder have played three strong defensive teams thus far this season and they are just 1-2 SU and 1-2 ATS against them this season while not winning by more than 6 in that one win against good defensive teams. I feel the Hornets can keep this game close and give the Thunder plenty of problems. Top notch teams always get the best of from their opponents and that is what we will see tonight.

New Orleans 6 for 1 unit.

Daily fantasy basketball tip of the day: When choosing a player look at who is going to be guarding him from his opponent. Example of what I am saying is James Harden started the season red hot while everyone was jumping on board with him for their daily contests. He then ran into some very good defenders in Dwayne Wade, Mike Conley and Andre Iguodala and we saw his numbers drop big time. His last game out though he was matched up with either Austin Rivers or Greivis Vasquez in which both young guys had issues containing him which allowed Harden to drop 30 points on them which lead him to grabbing 38 fantasy points that game.


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