Nikolay Spassov

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Joined August 14th 2007

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EPL Title Contest?

August 22nd 2007 23:34
Barclaycard Premiership


Now that three rounds of Premiership action have passed, full of surprises and curious situations, the big question of who will obtain the title this year gets even harder to answer a view on the performance of the top teams in the first rounds would make this task a little bit easier.

Chelsea are the current favourites of the bookies(2.10), but to be frank I'm not impressed with them. Pizzaro, Malouda and co are yet to show their capabilities, and they are quiality players, but this season I think that the problem for Chelsea won't be up front, they have too many top-class players there, and in case they don't play against Liverpool for instance(sorry but Chelsea were so plain and without any ideas against Benitez's boys last week), they will score enough. The issue is that they concede too many goals. It's not the pragmatic Chelsea of the last seasons, who scored one or two but didn't allow the opponents to respond(it was trendy to bet 1-0 or 2-0 correct score when Chelsea are at home). Now we have 3-2 at home against NEWCOMERS of Birmingham, 1-2 away to Reading and 1-1 at Anfield. The first two wins were very hard, and basically for a team with Chelsea's likes, such matches are supposed to be easier. And the draw against Liverpool was a gift from the referee, Liverpool were the winners there.

Liverpool is the team that is about to be the new participant in the pursue of the title. After spending more than 50 million euro for players like Torres, Babel and Voronin Benitez has no excuses now. Previous seasons Liverpool made more than enough for the capabilities of their squad, but now they have to fight for the Premiership, 18 years without a title is just too much. Benitez will put into action his famous rotation principle, that enabled Valencia some years ago to win two times La Liga. Still, we haven't seen enough from Liverpool, but judging from the performance against Chelsea,
their style remains the old one - pragmatic, deadly tactical and disciplined football. But now that they have a variety of performers, Merseysiders could be more stable and endanger not only the Champions League contenders as before, but Chelsea and Manchester United as well.
The odds for Liverpool to win Outright were 6.50 in the beggining of the season, and now are 4.50, which speaks for itself.
Keep eyes on the Sunderland - Liverpool match in the weekend, I consider it a very important one for Liverpool's self-confidence after the blow against Chelsea.

Manchester United hit a bad streak in the first rounds. 2 draws and 1 lost in a row are results that we haven't seen from the Red Devils in the last two seasons. But it would be an airy statement that United are out. They just need one win to boost their confidence, and good results will flow. I guess, Tottenham this Sunday will be the first victims, though this promises to be a very tight fixture. Yes, it will be more difficult without injured Rooney and the suspended Ronaldo, but a team with the likes of United must be able to cope with such situations. My personal prediction is that United will bounce back in the next rounds and we will witness a three-sided fight for the title this season. A really intriguing one.

Arsenal, the other member of 'the big four', don't have the capability and the squad for the title. No offence to their fans, but this is reality and now without Henry it's even harder.

Some said that Tottenham will be able to intrude in big four's hegemony, but they still are quite unstable. And I'm really puzzled why did Jol buy Darren Bent for so much money, instead of strengthening his defensive line with experienced backs. So now he has around 5 forwards, but if a defender is injured(like skipper Ledley King is now), defensive problems occur.
Sorry, just UEFA for Tottenham, or the maximum is a fight with Arsenal for the 4th position.


So, perhaps the most intriguing season in the best league in the world is in front of us.

For previews and stuff before the rounds, see my b-log


Opinions are welcome!
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Newcomers attack

August 17th 2007 11:06
Nothing from England in Friday, so a quick review of a Bundesliga encounter.

Karlsruhe – Hannover

I have my theory that one should not bet in the beginning of the season against newcomers in any league when they are at their home ground. I mean, at least initially, these teams are very motivated in front of their own fans and can manage decent results. So, imagine what the spirits amongst Karlsruhe’s players currently are, after their impressive away win at Nurnberg(0-2) in the first round. Now they have the chance to show their capabilities to the home crowd and with the self-confidence they’ve gained, it is more than possible to outclass the guests.
Karlsruhe is a very tough team, and to my mind, they will be something like Reading in the Premiership. And visits to Karlsruhe would never be easy, and Hannover aren’t a unbeatable team but regular mid-tables.
I’d take the 1 with draw no bet, odds are very good.
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Early tips for the weekend

August 16th 2007 14:11
Quick view on some encounters that take place in the weekend.
Expect more thorough preview of some of them in the following days(probably).

Sheffield W – Wolverhampton
The sympathetic Wolves team has been in the golden middle of the table for the most of the time last season. In the end, they had some chances in the play-offs, but in the end they remained in the Championship. But this season the situation is different. After considerable investment, now Wolves are clear favorites for direct promotion. They were unlucky to lose their first game at home (1-2 with Watford) in the last 5 minutes, but the result doesn’t represent what happened on the field. Wolves were better, and probably they will be better away to Sheffield as well(who were smashed 4-1 away to Ipswich in the first round). Don’t worry, Wolves are ok when they are away. Tip: 2 or 2 DNB

Karlsruhe – Hannover
I like betting on newcomers at home in the beginning of the season. Karlsruhe made a little sensation last week with their away win at Nurnberg(0-2). For newbie teams, success in the first game highers the spirits to sky levels, and with their generally good home form(according to last season’s statistics), they will probably make the fans at their home ground happy once again – and Hannover is neither Schalke nor Stuttgart or Dortmund, so Karlsruhe are able to win here. Tip: 1 or 1 DNB

Colchester – Barnsley
Do you remember which was the team who managed 12 wins at home in a row last season? Yeah, the newbies from Colchester with their 5000 stadium made fun of teams with traditions. I doubt that they will be able to repeat this achievement once again, but still they will remain favorites when playing at home. As for Barnsley, they are probably one of the possible relegation candidates, and hardly will match Colchester’s home performance, especially judging from the 6-1-16 away record last year. Tip: 1

Liverpool – Chelsea
One cannot omit such a game. I will be brief here, my thoughts lean towards the 1, but I have a feeling that this won’t be one of the typical 0-0 games between these teams. Especially Liverpool, they now have the power to score more, but Chelsea won’t give up without fight. Well, my feeling is that both teams will score in a spectacular game. Tip: Both teams to score
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UEFA for today

August 16th 2007 09:28
No England but 32 uefa encounters.

A proposal from me for a team of my country


[ Click here to read more ]
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Wednesday Premiership

August 15th 2007 07:09
More fixtures today, not only from the Premiership, but for the Champions League as well. Others may refer to the European cups, but I prefer to look for something profitable in the Premiership.
So my first recommendation:

[ Click here to read more ]
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Tottenham - Everton

August 14th 2007 14:10
So, for Tuesday just one fixture, expect more for tomorrow.

Tottenham – Everton


[ Click here to read more ]
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Football in England

August 14th 2007 14:01
England and football - connected in some way.
Football, combined with the passion of betting(in limited wagers), are the my preconditions to create a b-log mainly focused on the Premiership and Championship.
Every preview here is created with effort and with information from various sources. And it is not just a rewriting


[ Click here to read more ]
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