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Cardinals Add Matt Holliday

July 24th 2009 17:22
The Cardinals have traded third baseman Brett Wallace, outfielder Shane Peterson and right-hander Clayton Mortensen for Oakland A's OF Matt Holliday.

Update:

Cardinals receive:
Matt Holliday - The 29-year-old outfielder had been the best hitter for the Oakland A's this season; however, his drop in power this year, compared to his years in Colorado, made him somewhat of a disappointment compared to his expectations. In July, Holliday has heated up, hitting 3 HR and 7 2B in 68 at bats. He will also provide solid defense in the outfield and another offensive threat in the Cardinals lineup outside of Pujols. The Cards owe him $4 million for his services the rest of the year, after which he becomes a free agent.

Athletics receive:
Brett Wallace - Wallace was the best prospect in the Cardinals system and one of the top 25 overall. His defense may force him to shift from 3B to 1B, which would bring his offensive value down, but he can flat out hit. At 22-years-old, it will not take long for him to become an important part of the A's offense.

Shane Peterson - Peterson will probably end up as a starter for a bad team or a fourth outfielder for a good team.

Clayton Mortensen - Least likely of the three to make the major leagues, but he could end up as an innings-eater in a rotation some day.

Overall: The Cardinals give up a huge prospect in Brett Wallace, but they drastically improve their chances of making the playoffs (and if you make it, anything can happen). The A's forfeited the picks they would have received for holding Holliday, but Brett Wallace is a sure-thing to hit in the majors and they are relieved of $4 million for the rest of Holliday's contract. In the end, the A's look to be the slight winners, but it depends on if Wallace reaches his potential and/or if Holliday helps to deliver a World Series to St. Louis.
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The NL Central is the only division where all of the teams are still close enough to win the division. At the bottom, the Pirates are aggressively rebuilding their team, but they have managed to stay within a single-digit deficit. The Reds have been outscored by 65 runs this season, but they are still only 6 games back. But the Cubs, Brewers, and Astros look to be the serious threats to the Cardinals staying on top of the division.

Standings

St. Louis Cardinals
Chicago Cubs 1.5 GB
Houston Astros 1.5 GB
Milwaukee Brewers 2.5 GB
Cincinnati Reds 6 GB
Pittsburgh Pirates 8.5 GB


Playoff Contenders

St. Louis Cardinals

Strength: Pujols and two aces. Albert Pujols has been hands-down the best offensive player in baseball this year. He has a line of .328/.450/.711 with 34 HR and 90 RBI. The Cards also boast two of the best pitchers in the game in Chris Carpenter and Adam Wainwright. Carpenter has a 2.26 ERA with pinpoint control and only 4 balls leaving the yard. Wainwright has his own impressive 2.95 ERA with a dominant 8.16 K/9.

Weakness: All hitters not named Pujols. The Cardinals have had a fairly productive offense this season, but that is due entirely to Pujols. Behind Pujols' .450 OBP and 34 HR, the next-best regular has an OBP of .366 and only 3 HR. They have also given significant playing time to Thurston, Duncan, Ryan, and Rasmus, all with OBPs below .330 and Barden, Ankiel, and both Greenes, all with OBPs below .300. Ryan Ludwick, with his 16 HR, is the only other player to offer any power of note; although, a .340 OBP and time missed to an injury make him far less than a star in the OF.

Chicago Cubs

Strength: Deep rotation. The Cubs' rotation does not have a Cy Young candidate in it, but they do go three deep with guys that would be the ace for many other teams. Ted Lilly has combined his 7.83 K/9 with a low 1.90 BB/9 to produce a 3.59 ERA, Randy Wells has kept the ball in the yard and limited walks for a 3.00 ERA, and Carlos Zambrano has also kept the ball in the yard while striking out 7.5 per 9 innings. Following up these three, Ryan Dempster has been more than an adequate fourth starter, posting an ERA of 4.09. Rich Harden has been burdened by a high HR rate, but his high K:BB ratio point to a rebound in the second half.

Weakness: Offense. Jake Fox has been their most productive hitter, but he has only 98 plate appearances. Derrek Lee (18 HR) and Alfonso Soriano (16 HR) are the only guys on the team with double-digit home run totals, but they have OBPs of only .354 and .309, respectively. Fukudome has a has a nice .375 OBP, but no power. Aramis Ramirez missed significant time with an injury and was not much better than average when he did play. Soto has turned into a singles hitter. Milton Bradley (6) has only three more home runs than Carlos Zambrano (3), in 228 more plate appearances. They also have gotten a handful of performances that are just too terrible to even mention. If the Cubs somehow make the playoffs, they have nowhere near the offense to produce against the aces of a playoff team.

Houston Astros

Strength: Offense. Aside from Darrin Erstad and Kaz Matsui trying as hard as they can to not get on base, the Astros have had a surprisingly effective offense. Berkman has been the catalyst, with a .407 OBP and 18 HR. Carlos Lee has helped to supply some more power to the lineup with 15 HR. Tejada has hit .327 with 30 doubles at SS, a position where having an offensive threat has basically been non-existent in the league. Hunter Pence has gotten on base at a solid clip while providing some pop. Michael Bourn and his blinding speed have managed a .357 OBP with 36 stolen bases.

Weakness: Rotation depth. While Wandy Rodriguez and Roy Oswalt have been a good 1-2 punch at the top of the rotation, the remaining starters have struggled to produce. Brian Moehler and Mike Hampton have ERAs in the high-4.00's, while not going deep into starts. They have used both Russ Ortiz and Felipe Paulino as #5 starters, but they have managed less than impressive numbers, with ERAs as starters of 5.02 and 5.80, respectively.

Milwaukee Brewers

Strength: Offense. The Brewers' offense is the strongest in the division. Prince Fielder has become one of the best bats in the majors this year, bashing 24 HR and posting a .438 OBP. Ryan Braun would be the best hitter on most other teams, getting on base 38.6% of the time and hitting 18 home runs. Cameron has filled in well as the third most productive hitter in the lineup, with 14 HR and a .366 OBP. Rookie Casey McGehee has made about as much use of 178 plate appearances as a player could, with a .910 OPS. Speaking of doing a lot in a short amount of time, new addition Felipe Lopez has hit .556 in 10 plate appearances. Old-man Craig Counsell still knows how to get on base.

Weakness: All starters not named Yovanni. While Gallardo has been dominant this year, the rest of the rotation has not caught on to what it takes to pitch well. Looper is 9-4, but has an ERA of 4.64, strikes out too few, walks too many, and allows way too many home runs. Jeff Suppan has been the definition of hittable. Dave Bush and Manny Parra have sky-high ERAs. If it weren't for the effort of the guys on offense, the #2-#5 slots in the rotation would have a hard time winning a game.
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It appears that Adam LaRoche, who is not in the starting lineup for Pittsburgh today, has been traded to the Red Sox. There is no word yet on who it is for. I will update/analyze as soon as further information is revealed.

Update: The Pirates received SS Argenis Diaz and P Hunter Strickland in return. More analysis in a moment.

Update: Everyone seems to be in agreement that 22-year-old SS Diaz is a tremendous defender, but he has done next to nothing from the plate in four years of Minor League ball. Unless he magically learns how to hit someday, he is probably nothing more than a solid defensive replacement in the bigs. He is definitely not a potential replacement for Jack Wilson, unless the Pirates want an even poorer-hitting version of Jack Wilson.

The buzz on (almost) 21-year-old RHP Hunter Strickland is that he throws around 90 mph and could eventually make his way into a major-league bullpen, but his stuff is only about average.

As for Adam LaRoche, he has struggled mightily so far in July, he has an OPS around .775, and he is no better than average in the field. On the plus side, he generally performs well in the second half, the Red Sox only have to pay for 2 months from him, and the Red Sox may be compensated with a draft pick when he becomes a free agent this offseason.

At the end of the day, the Red Sox got themselves added hitting depth without having to give up any important pieces, and the Pirates were able to unload an extraneous member of their team who would have been gone in two months anyways for a future defensive replacement at SS and a future arm in the pen. This trade will take years to determine the winner, but for right now, a slight edge to the Red Sox because they received the only clear major-league talent in the deal, and the Pirates may end up covering the cost of LaRoche for the rest of the season.
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While the American League Central lacks a truly great team, they do have three teams above .500 that should be fighting hard for the division title in the second half: the Tigers, White Sox, and Twins. They also have two of the worst teams in the league, the Royals and Indians.

Standings


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This season, the division that delivered us the World Series Champion Philadelphia Phillies last year has instead decided to offer only two teams over .500. They also can boast the worst team in the majors, by far, with the Washington Nationals, which a group of 12 random guys off the street could have probably performed as well as their pitching staff. The Phillies again seem to be well on their way to the playoffs, but the Marlins, Braves, and Mets are still hanging around.

Standings


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It appears that Philadelphia has signed Pedro Martinez after he "passed" a physical for them; however, he will apparently head straight to the disabled list.

The Phillies have had the best offense in the majors this season, even with Ryan Howard not getting on base nearly as much as he did in 2006 and 2007 and Jimmy Rollins appearing to have completely forgotten how to hit. Their pitching, however, has been in the bottom third of all teams. Starters Joe Blanton, Cole Hamels, and especially Jamie Moyer have been plagued by the long ball and have posted ERAs of 4.44, 4.87, and 5.99, respectively. Rookie J.A. Happ has been the best starter, but he projects as only a #4/#5 starter, so the sustainability of his performance so far is questionable. Current fifth starter Rodrigo Lopez has posted an ERA of 3.18 in two starts, but his career 4.78 ERA does not portend a bright future. The other starters that came and left the rotation were all ineffective and are now either in the bullpen or hurt


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Approximately halfway through the season, the AL East is yet again playing out to be the strongest division in the MLB. Tampa Bay, Boston, and New York are arguably 3 of the 4 best teams in baseball, and the Toronto Blue Jays are in the Top 10, although they are fading. The Orioles are one of the worst teams in baseball this season, but they have young help rising in the minors. The Orioles could be boasting one of the best rotations in baseball soon and have super-prospect C Matt Wieters to join Adam Jones and Nick Markakis in the lineup.

Standings


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Tonight, the "best" players from each league will face each other to determine which is the superior league. Based on starting lineups, which team has the superior offense?

Catcher: Yadier Molina vs. Joe Mauer
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Braves and Mets swap OFs Jeff Francoeur and Ryan Church

After starting his career with promise as a 21-year-old, the 25-year-old version of Jeff Francoeur is halfway through his second straight season with a sub-.300 OBP and sub-.360 SLG. Basically, any random minor-leaguer would have been more valuable than him over the past two seasons. What the Mets want with him, no one knows, but apparently Mets GM Omar Minaya likes the "amount of games that he plays." Great analysis


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Mariners-Royals Make Strange Trade

July 10th 2009 20:29
The Mariners traded SS Yuniesky Betancourt to the Royals for two pitching prospects, Danny Cortes and Derrick Saito.

The Mariners claimed they could not resist adding two young arms to the team. Cortes was the Royals Minor League Pitcher of the Year in 2008 and projects to be a #3 or #4 starter in the majors. Saito is not experienced yet to really be on the major-league radar. While Cortes was a solid addition to the Seattle club's future, they are now left with Ronny Cedeno as the starter at SS moving forward. Cedeno is hitting .149 and the Mariners are in contention! Do they really think they can better compete with Cedeno at short instead of waiting for Betancourt to get healthy and take over


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