March Madness is here...
March 15th 2011 22:23
Okay, so with the NCAA tourney starting Thursday(the play-in games still don’t count, sorry), I decided to do a breakdown of the first round games, giving my picks for who should win, and why. I’ll also put my picks for the whole bracket on the bottom of the page. If anyone wants to join the Hulu’s Lounge group on the ESPN.com Tourney Challenge, I will give to anyone that beats me a free Hulu’s Lounge shirt of their choosing(No, they haven’t been made yet, but I’ll keep my word if I lose. I’m pretty sure no one is going to join anyway.) Okay so first thing’s first is the East Region.
East
Locks for the Region
Ohio State, Syracuse, North Carolina
To get the easy picks out of the way, Ohio State, Syracuse, and North Carolina will easily roll over their first round opponents(Sorry Indiana St., but not even Larry Bird will save you from the shellacking your are going to receive from the Orange in the first round.
Solid Picks
West Virginia, Kentucky, Washington
These three teams all are significantly better than their opponents, but I’m not sold on any of them for a few different reasons. First off, Kentucky is probably the best team out of this group and deserves to be in the “lock” category, but they are just too young for me too give them “lock” status. Brandon Knight leads this young Wildcat team which put a beating on No.2 seed Florida over the weekend to win the SEC Championship(I know, I know, Florida deserved a No. 2 seed as much as Erik Spoelstra deserves the NBA Coach of the Year award, but I’ll get back to this later on.) West Virginia, on the other hand, is a more battle tested team coming out of the Big East. Everyone is picking this team to lose because last year all of the middle tier Big East teams never made it to the weekend. Well, obviously something Doug Gottlieb didn’t realize is that this year’s crop of tournament teams isn’t that good, and don’t try and convince me Clemson is going to pull this upset when first of all they have to play in the play in game 2 days before and then travel to their next game, while the Mountaineers rest, and secondly, when Clemson hasn’t beaten a tourney team, plays in a horrible conference where they can inflate their record, and chokes away ever big game they ever really play in. Sorry, Clemson fans just not your year. I really do like Isiah Thomas and Washington, but there is only one problem. I can’t get a read on how good these teams coming out of the Pac 10 are because I haven’t seen many of their games, and because the bottom of the Pac 10 is shit. I still think they will handle Georgia pretty capable, but if Isiah has some trouble with the Georgia defense they may have some problems, but I don’t see it happening. Georgia only win over a ranked opponent came against Kentucky early in the season when Kentucky was still trying to figure it all out, since then Georgia is 0-4 vs ranked opponents
The toss-ups
Villanova, Marquette
As my friends, Alex and Alan, say “Marquette plays everyone tough”. I didn’t totally agree with that statement at the beginning of the year, but after watching them play for most of the season annoint me a believer. All, but 2 of their regular season losses were by single digits, and they once again are a battle tested team. They know what it feels like to play in the biggest game under the brightest lights. Xavier knows how to travel around the country and beat up on teams that my intramural team would give a run for their money, it’s just not the same. When all of the pressure is on, I don’t know how Xavier will handle it, but I do know what Marquette will do. People say that Xavier gets the edge because they will play this one close to home, but it’s the NCAA tourney, so their is a feeling of infamiliarity no matter how close the court is that you play on. Now, for my beloved Wildcats. I switched this pick about 15 times, because I know how truly awful the Cats have been playing these past few weeks, but if Fisher and Stokes are 80% each I think the Cats pull this one out. They lost to South Florida because neither of these two were on the court when the game was on the line (well that, and that Maurice Cheeks plays defense about as well as his dad, Mo Cheeks, coaches.). If that happens against George Mason later this week, it may spell trouble but I have faith in Jay Wright not to screw this up. I hope. (Has anyone else noticed that Jay Wright is becoming less and less well-dressed as Nova continued to play worse and worse? I swear that was the first thing to pop into my head when I watched the USF game. Maybe Jay should put on a three-piece suit for this one.
West
Locks
Duke, UCONN, Arizona, San Diego St.
This region of the bracket has the strongest No. 1-5 seeds in the tourney, and it will show during the first weekend.(If your asking why Texas is not up there, just scroll down twice and read the next paragraph.) Duke, San Dego St, and UCONN have nothing to worry about because none of the teams they are playing will be within 20 at halftime, but Arizona may get a little scare from this Memphis team early, but as long as Derrick Williams touches the ball every time down the floor, there really shouldn’t be a problem because no one can guard him 1-on-1. Add that with the fact that Menmphis shoots the three about as well as Mike Bibby plays defense, and you have a recipe for a Zona victory.
Solid Picks
Texas, Temple, Cincy,
I know I know I said that this bracket region had the strongest 1-5 seeds, but then didn’t include Texas in my “locks” category. I did this because of the team they are playing, Oakland(And no this is not Oakland, California, but Oakland, Michigan.) Oakland put up a good fight against some ranked teams earlier in the year, and I feel that though this team could have put up a fight against a lot of teams in this tournament, but just not Texas. Texas has been playing great basketball as of late, not including their loss in the Big 12 championship game to No.1 seed Kansas. I do see Texas as lock, but Rick Barnes isn’t really known for leading his teams deep into the tourney so I’m just protecting myself against another Rick Barnes meltdown. If this were any other year, Temple would be an absolute lock in this first round matchup. Why do you ask? Because Penn State basketball hasn’t been good, I don’t think ever, or atleast not in my lifetime. This year Penn State got on a little roll during the end of the season beating both Purdue and Michigan State in the Big Ten tourney, before running into Jared Sullinger and the Ohio State Buckeyes who brought them back down to reality. Cincy is another middle of the pack to back of the pack Big East team in terms of talent, but they are very well coached. The difference in this game is going to be defense, because Missouri doesn’t play any. Mizzou gives up more points per game than Cincy scores meaning that the Bearcats should have no problem putting up points on this Tigers team, and Cincy holds teams to around 60 points per game add in the physicallity of this Bearcats team and it seems like it should add up to win.(On a side note, what if Lance Stephenson stayed for his Sophomore year at Cincy instead of stupidly jumping into the NBA draft. Cincy would have the scorer they would need to take over games in the tourney, and they could have made some serious noise.)
The “Toss-ups”
MIchigan
I’m making this pick as much for the Wolverines as I’m picking against the Volunteers. This Tennessee team is falling apart at the seams. Bruce Pearl can’t got about 2 weeks without getting in trouble with the NCAA, and the lack of a consistent coaching presence seems to be hampering a once promising season for the Volunteers. I know that Michigan is a young and that most “experts” don’t like young teams, but one I’m not an expert and two I think being a young team can help teams in situations like this. Michigan will not come out scared of this Volunteers team because Tennesse hasn’t given them anything to really worry about. This is only a toss-up because I’m not totally sold on this Michigan which was shaky as times during the year.
Southwest Region
Locks
Kansas, Georgetown, Purdue, Louisville, Notre Dame
Notice the three Big East teams in my “lock” picks, and notice the trend that has been going on throughout this whole analysis column. Some people may call me a “homer” for the Big East, but I just think the Big East is a much better conference than the rest of them, with the Big 12 coming in second. Notre Dame and Kansas once again play “powderpuff” games that no one really needs to watch because those teams honestly never win. Some may come close, but it’s never really in doubt. Morehead St. turns the ball over too much and is horrible defending the 3 ball, which is basically all good Rick Pitino teams do and this year’s Louisville team is no excpetion. Going into the season, Purdue was my dark horse pick to win it all, but losing Robbie Hummel for the second season in a row really set them back. This Purdue team is still good enough to make a serious run in tourney with JaJuan Johnson and Etwan Moore(my favorite name tandem on any team), and it starts against St. Peters. Georgetown is a team I’m on the fence about, just not in the first round. They should cruise by whoever wins the play-in game, and move on to the next round, but if Chris Wirght’s wrist still isn’t fully healed this may be the only win they get.
Solid picks
UNLV, Richmond
Yes, yes, you did read that correctly I have a 5-12 upset in my solid picks. This occurs for two reasons. First, that Richmond, just like Hansel, is sooo hot right now(If you didn’t get that movie reference, please do yourself a favor and find yourself a copy of Zoolander. It might be Ben Stiller’s best performance ever. You’ll thank me later. ) They coasted through the A-10 tourney on their way to the tittle. Both Richmond and Vanderbilt rely on the deep ball, but Richmond has the senior leadership and Vandy doesn’t have one senior that sees minutes on their whole team. Besides sneaking out a win at home against Kentucky and handling a overmatched St. Mary’s team that got snubbed by those damn NCAA officials, Vandy hasn’t beaten a solid tourney team since the beginning of this year. The UNLV pick is simple Illnois has had trouble doing much of anything consistently throughout this whole year. Mix that with the fact that UNLV plays great defense and you have a recipe for success if your a fan of the Runnin’ Rebels.
The “Toss-ups”
Florida St.
This comes down to one person, Chris Singleton. If he is healthy, the ‘Noles have the electric scorer to go along with the stifling defense that they have played all year. Remeber that this ‘Noles team beat Duke with Singleton in lineup in the middle of January. Texas A&M has a great inside game, but I think the Florida St. defense can smother them enough that if Singleton takes over the Noles could dance into the weekend games.
Southeast
Locks
Pitt, St. John’s, BYU, Florida
Once again, the No. 1 and No. 2 seeds will get by easily in their first round games, with BYU following close behind. Why just BYU, you ask? Because until someone on Wofford learns how to Jimmer, this one is going to be ugly. I don’t care that they lost Davies that won’t matter until they see the Johnnies in the second round. St. John’s has a littl bit of a tougher game, and they don’t usually play as well when they are the favorites, but I can’t see this team getting bounced out in the first round after everything they have been through this year. Also the farther, St. John’s goes in the tourney the longer I get to see candid shots of my boy Kevin Clark jumping up and down on the sidelines. If you don’t know who he is, just look for the white kid on the St. John’s bench. It might not make sense now but it will when you see it in action.
Solid Picks
Wisconsin
Wisconsin was a lock until I got real nervous about the fact that I knew nothing about Belmont to make the Badgers a really lock. I understand that Bo Ryan’s team are too discipline to lose this kind of game after the season they had, but it’s the tourney and these are the types of games good teams lose. Now, do I see Belmont pulling the upset? No, but would I be shocked if it happened? No. Still, Wisconsin is a pretty solid pick.
The “Toss-ups”
Butler, Michigan St., Utah St.
Butler isn’t the same team that went to the final four that is for certain, but this team just didn’t luck back into the NCAA tourney. This isn’t golf you don’t a trip to the BIg Dance every year, just becaus you made it to the Final Four. This Butler team has a lot of good talent, but Matt Howard is the anchor of the this squad, along with Shelvin Mack. ODU has played a lot of good teams close, but close doesn’t get you to the next round, so I am taking the team that has been there before to see if they can conjure up some more March Madness magic. The next two teams I picked for the exact opposite reasons. First off, I picked Mich St., because I think they are getting their pieces back together. Lucas seems to have finally got his quickness back, and their versatility should pose a problem for UCLA. Plus, once again I’m not sold on a high seed coming out of the Pac 10, unlike Washington though I think Michigan St. has better individual players than UCLA. The reason I’m picking Utah St. is that I just have no faith in Kansas St.. I know I know, they beat Kansas on the road, but so Kansas got with their pants down. That stuff always happens in college basketball, and that win over Texas happened when Texas was on a little slide of its own when it lost to Colorado and Nebraska also in a 4 game sequence. The other reason I want Utah St. to win is because they have the best student section in the country. (Before you even start talking about Duke, I just want you to know that most of the kids in the Duke student section wait outside all night just to get into the games, instead of tailgating and having a good time, plus most of them are Asian and are confused because they are waiting for Yao Ming, or Yi Jianlian to sign into the game, but here ar some videos of my “dudes” at Utah St. do it right)
Really Long Link
Really Long Link
Watch those 2 links and tell me your not impressed....
Now onto my Whole Bracket
Ohio St
Ohio St
Nova
Ohio St
West Virgina
Kentucky
Kentucky
Ohio St.
Marquette
Syracuse
Syracuse
Syracuse
Washington
UNC
UNC
Duke
Duke
Michigan
Duke
Arizona
Texas
Texas
SDSU
Cincy
UCONN
UCONN
SDSU
Temple
SDSU
SDSU
Kansas
Kansas
UNLV
Kansas
Richmond
Louisville
Louisville
Kansas
Georgetown
Purdue
Purdue
Notre Dame
Florida St.
Notre Dame
Notre Dame
Pittsburgh
Pitt
Butler
Pitt
Utah St.
Wisconsin
Wisconsin
Pitt
St. John’s
St. John’s
BYU
Mich St.
Mich St.
Mich St
Florida
My Final Four
Ohio St.
Ohio St.
SDSU
Pitt
Kansas
Pitt
Pitt
There it is folks. I predict that Pitt will be your National Champion.
East
Locks for the Region
Ohio State, Syracuse, North Carolina
To get the easy picks out of the way, Ohio State, Syracuse, and North Carolina will easily roll over their first round opponents(Sorry Indiana St., but not even Larry Bird will save you from the shellacking your are going to receive from the Orange in the first round.
Solid Picks
West Virginia, Kentucky, Washington
These three teams all are significantly better than their opponents, but I’m not sold on any of them for a few different reasons. First off, Kentucky is probably the best team out of this group and deserves to be in the “lock” category, but they are just too young for me too give them “lock” status. Brandon Knight leads this young Wildcat team which put a beating on No.2 seed Florida over the weekend to win the SEC Championship(I know, I know, Florida deserved a No. 2 seed as much as Erik Spoelstra deserves the NBA Coach of the Year award, but I’ll get back to this later on.) West Virginia, on the other hand, is a more battle tested team coming out of the Big East. Everyone is picking this team to lose because last year all of the middle tier Big East teams never made it to the weekend. Well, obviously something Doug Gottlieb didn’t realize is that this year’s crop of tournament teams isn’t that good, and don’t try and convince me Clemson is going to pull this upset when first of all they have to play in the play in game 2 days before and then travel to their next game, while the Mountaineers rest, and secondly, when Clemson hasn’t beaten a tourney team, plays in a horrible conference where they can inflate their record, and chokes away ever big game they ever really play in. Sorry, Clemson fans just not your year. I really do like Isiah Thomas and Washington, but there is only one problem. I can’t get a read on how good these teams coming out of the Pac 10 are because I haven’t seen many of their games, and because the bottom of the Pac 10 is shit. I still think they will handle Georgia pretty capable, but if Isiah has some trouble with the Georgia defense they may have some problems, but I don’t see it happening. Georgia only win over a ranked opponent came against Kentucky early in the season when Kentucky was still trying to figure it all out, since then Georgia is 0-4 vs ranked opponents
The toss-ups
Villanova, Marquette
As my friends, Alex and Alan, say “Marquette plays everyone tough”. I didn’t totally agree with that statement at the beginning of the year, but after watching them play for most of the season annoint me a believer. All, but 2 of their regular season losses were by single digits, and they once again are a battle tested team. They know what it feels like to play in the biggest game under the brightest lights. Xavier knows how to travel around the country and beat up on teams that my intramural team would give a run for their money, it’s just not the same. When all of the pressure is on, I don’t know how Xavier will handle it, but I do know what Marquette will do. People say that Xavier gets the edge because they will play this one close to home, but it’s the NCAA tourney, so their is a feeling of infamiliarity no matter how close the court is that you play on. Now, for my beloved Wildcats. I switched this pick about 15 times, because I know how truly awful the Cats have been playing these past few weeks, but if Fisher and Stokes are 80% each I think the Cats pull this one out. They lost to South Florida because neither of these two were on the court when the game was on the line (well that, and that Maurice Cheeks plays defense about as well as his dad, Mo Cheeks, coaches.). If that happens against George Mason later this week, it may spell trouble but I have faith in Jay Wright not to screw this up. I hope. (Has anyone else noticed that Jay Wright is becoming less and less well-dressed as Nova continued to play worse and worse? I swear that was the first thing to pop into my head when I watched the USF game. Maybe Jay should put on a three-piece suit for this one.
West
Locks
Duke, UCONN, Arizona, San Diego St.
This region of the bracket has the strongest No. 1-5 seeds in the tourney, and it will show during the first weekend.(If your asking why Texas is not up there, just scroll down twice and read the next paragraph.) Duke, San Dego St, and UCONN have nothing to worry about because none of the teams they are playing will be within 20 at halftime, but Arizona may get a little scare from this Memphis team early, but as long as Derrick Williams touches the ball every time down the floor, there really shouldn’t be a problem because no one can guard him 1-on-1. Add that with the fact that Menmphis shoots the three about as well as Mike Bibby plays defense, and you have a recipe for a Zona victory.
Solid Picks
Texas, Temple, Cincy,
I know I know I said that this bracket region had the strongest 1-5 seeds, but then didn’t include Texas in my “locks” category. I did this because of the team they are playing, Oakland(And no this is not Oakland, California, but Oakland, Michigan.) Oakland put up a good fight against some ranked teams earlier in the year, and I feel that though this team could have put up a fight against a lot of teams in this tournament, but just not Texas. Texas has been playing great basketball as of late, not including their loss in the Big 12 championship game to No.1 seed Kansas. I do see Texas as lock, but Rick Barnes isn’t really known for leading his teams deep into the tourney so I’m just protecting myself against another Rick Barnes meltdown. If this were any other year, Temple would be an absolute lock in this first round matchup. Why do you ask? Because Penn State basketball hasn’t been good, I don’t think ever, or atleast not in my lifetime. This year Penn State got on a little roll during the end of the season beating both Purdue and Michigan State in the Big Ten tourney, before running into Jared Sullinger and the Ohio State Buckeyes who brought them back down to reality. Cincy is another middle of the pack to back of the pack Big East team in terms of talent, but they are very well coached. The difference in this game is going to be defense, because Missouri doesn’t play any. Mizzou gives up more points per game than Cincy scores meaning that the Bearcats should have no problem putting up points on this Tigers team, and Cincy holds teams to around 60 points per game add in the physicallity of this Bearcats team and it seems like it should add up to win.(On a side note, what if Lance Stephenson stayed for his Sophomore year at Cincy instead of stupidly jumping into the NBA draft. Cincy would have the scorer they would need to take over games in the tourney, and they could have made some serious noise.)
The “Toss-ups”
MIchigan
I’m making this pick as much for the Wolverines as I’m picking against the Volunteers. This Tennessee team is falling apart at the seams. Bruce Pearl can’t got about 2 weeks without getting in trouble with the NCAA, and the lack of a consistent coaching presence seems to be hampering a once promising season for the Volunteers. I know that Michigan is a young and that most “experts” don’t like young teams, but one I’m not an expert and two I think being a young team can help teams in situations like this. Michigan will not come out scared of this Volunteers team because Tennesse hasn’t given them anything to really worry about. This is only a toss-up because I’m not totally sold on this Michigan which was shaky as times during the year.
Southwest Region
Locks
Kansas, Georgetown, Purdue, Louisville, Notre Dame
Notice the three Big East teams in my “lock” picks, and notice the trend that has been going on throughout this whole analysis column. Some people may call me a “homer” for the Big East, but I just think the Big East is a much better conference than the rest of them, with the Big 12 coming in second. Notre Dame and Kansas once again play “powderpuff” games that no one really needs to watch because those teams honestly never win. Some may come close, but it’s never really in doubt. Morehead St. turns the ball over too much and is horrible defending the 3 ball, which is basically all good Rick Pitino teams do and this year’s Louisville team is no excpetion. Going into the season, Purdue was my dark horse pick to win it all, but losing Robbie Hummel for the second season in a row really set them back. This Purdue team is still good enough to make a serious run in tourney with JaJuan Johnson and Etwan Moore(my favorite name tandem on any team), and it starts against St. Peters. Georgetown is a team I’m on the fence about, just not in the first round. They should cruise by whoever wins the play-in game, and move on to the next round, but if Chris Wirght’s wrist still isn’t fully healed this may be the only win they get.
Solid picks
UNLV, Richmond
Yes, yes, you did read that correctly I have a 5-12 upset in my solid picks. This occurs for two reasons. First, that Richmond, just like Hansel, is sooo hot right now(If you didn’t get that movie reference, please do yourself a favor and find yourself a copy of Zoolander. It might be Ben Stiller’s best performance ever. You’ll thank me later. ) They coasted through the A-10 tourney on their way to the tittle. Both Richmond and Vanderbilt rely on the deep ball, but Richmond has the senior leadership and Vandy doesn’t have one senior that sees minutes on their whole team. Besides sneaking out a win at home against Kentucky and handling a overmatched St. Mary’s team that got snubbed by those damn NCAA officials, Vandy hasn’t beaten a solid tourney team since the beginning of this year. The UNLV pick is simple Illnois has had trouble doing much of anything consistently throughout this whole year. Mix that with the fact that UNLV plays great defense and you have a recipe for success if your a fan of the Runnin’ Rebels.
The “Toss-ups”
Florida St.
This comes down to one person, Chris Singleton. If he is healthy, the ‘Noles have the electric scorer to go along with the stifling defense that they have played all year. Remeber that this ‘Noles team beat Duke with Singleton in lineup in the middle of January. Texas A&M has a great inside game, but I think the Florida St. defense can smother them enough that if Singleton takes over the Noles could dance into the weekend games.
Southeast
Locks
Pitt, St. John’s, BYU, Florida
Once again, the No. 1 and No. 2 seeds will get by easily in their first round games, with BYU following close behind. Why just BYU, you ask? Because until someone on Wofford learns how to Jimmer, this one is going to be ugly. I don’t care that they lost Davies that won’t matter until they see the Johnnies in the second round. St. John’s has a littl bit of a tougher game, and they don’t usually play as well when they are the favorites, but I can’t see this team getting bounced out in the first round after everything they have been through this year. Also the farther, St. John’s goes in the tourney the longer I get to see candid shots of my boy Kevin Clark jumping up and down on the sidelines. If you don’t know who he is, just look for the white kid on the St. John’s bench. It might not make sense now but it will when you see it in action.
Solid Picks
Wisconsin
Wisconsin was a lock until I got real nervous about the fact that I knew nothing about Belmont to make the Badgers a really lock. I understand that Bo Ryan’s team are too discipline to lose this kind of game after the season they had, but it’s the tourney and these are the types of games good teams lose. Now, do I see Belmont pulling the upset? No, but would I be shocked if it happened? No. Still, Wisconsin is a pretty solid pick.
The “Toss-ups”
Butler, Michigan St., Utah St.
Butler isn’t the same team that went to the final four that is for certain, but this team just didn’t luck back into the NCAA tourney. This isn’t golf you don’t a trip to the BIg Dance every year, just becaus you made it to the Final Four. This Butler team has a lot of good talent, but Matt Howard is the anchor of the this squad, along with Shelvin Mack. ODU has played a lot of good teams close, but close doesn’t get you to the next round, so I am taking the team that has been there before to see if they can conjure up some more March Madness magic. The next two teams I picked for the exact opposite reasons. First off, I picked Mich St., because I think they are getting their pieces back together. Lucas seems to have finally got his quickness back, and their versatility should pose a problem for UCLA. Plus, once again I’m not sold on a high seed coming out of the Pac 10, unlike Washington though I think Michigan St. has better individual players than UCLA. The reason I’m picking Utah St. is that I just have no faith in Kansas St.. I know I know, they beat Kansas on the road, but so Kansas got with their pants down. That stuff always happens in college basketball, and that win over Texas happened when Texas was on a little slide of its own when it lost to Colorado and Nebraska also in a 4 game sequence. The other reason I want Utah St. to win is because they have the best student section in the country. (Before you even start talking about Duke, I just want you to know that most of the kids in the Duke student section wait outside all night just to get into the games, instead of tailgating and having a good time, plus most of them are Asian and are confused because they are waiting for Yao Ming, or Yi Jianlian to sign into the game, but here ar some videos of my “dudes” at Utah St. do it right)
Really Long Link
Really Long Link
Watch those 2 links and tell me your not impressed....
Now onto my Whole Bracket
Ohio St
Ohio St
Nova
Ohio St
West Virgina
Kentucky
Kentucky
Ohio St.
Marquette
Syracuse
Syracuse
Syracuse
Washington
UNC
UNC
Duke
Duke
Michigan
Duke
Arizona
Texas
Texas
SDSU
Cincy
UCONN
UCONN
SDSU
Temple
SDSU
SDSU
Kansas
Kansas
UNLV
Kansas
Richmond
Louisville
Louisville
Kansas
Georgetown
Purdue
Purdue
Notre Dame
Florida St.
Notre Dame
Notre Dame
Pittsburgh
Pitt
Butler
Pitt
Utah St.
Wisconsin
Wisconsin
Pitt
St. John’s
St. John’s
BYU
Mich St.
Mich St.
Mich St
Florida
My Final Four
Ohio St.
Ohio St.
SDSU
Pitt
Kansas
Pitt
Pitt
There it is folks. I predict that Pitt will be your National Champion.
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