Daressi

Nis, SERBIA AND MONTENEGRO


Joined November 15th 2006

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I didn't bet on soccer for a long time so I will try my luck in this Euro 2008 qualifications.



Cyprus - Wales


Cyprus is the team who play very good at home ground and I think they have good chances to stay unbeaten against Wales. Cyprus will be without midfielder Alexandrou on this match but hey will welcome back Okkas, Konstantinou and Anoleftis who could help the team in offense. Wales comes after big win in Slovakia 2:5 and they are favorites in this match. For Wales there will not be Koumas in the squad which could make some problems for Wales . In the first match Wales were better at home 3:1 but I have feeling they will not win this one. The most probable bet in my opinion is draw and I will back this outcome. Greeks ( Cypriot Greeks too) are always dangerous at home and I think they will take one point out of this match. Best odds for X are at unibet, bettson and Bwin , 3.30.



Poland - Kazakhstan



Poland is in good situation to make their first Europeans Championship appearance , however they must win upcoming fixtures and try not to lose against Serbia on road. But although it looks nice on the paper I believe they must have big pressure to make historical debut. Sometimes it could cause serious problems for the team. Poland will be without Golanski and Blaszczykowskog and Kosowski is back in the squad. Kazakhstan is certainly at least class below home squad but they don't have any pressure on this match. In the first match Kazakhs lost at home 0:1 so evidently they could fight with Poland. Kazakhstan is very tough team and I expect strong defense from the beginning. If they stop Poland in the first 20-30 minutes I believe they have chances to stay in 2 AH. Poland Is big favorite but I doubt they will win with more than 2 goals , I hope they will win again by one. So, my pick is Kazakhstan AH 2, 2.07 @ 10bet.



Italy - Georgia



Italy is big favorite against Georgians. They need to win this match in order to stay in race for the EURO 2008. However, they will be with one eye on Scotland match as they have just one point less than first placed Scotland. I think Italy will not push to hard to humiliate Georgians and they will probably be satisfied with the simple win as 3 points are the most important. Georgians don't have motive to fight but they will certainly do their best to make best possible result. I expect defensive play from the very beginning from them but still it wouldn't be sufficient for a single point. Italy won previous 3 games all by 2 goals difference. I will try my luck with Italy to win by 2 goals once more time. Odds are great , 4.05 @ Bwin, but take it with low stakes.



Armenia - Serbia



Armenia showed solid strenght in this qualifications especially at home where they've tottaly surprised Poland and also drew with Portugal and Finland . Definitely not so easy team to beat as odds around 1.40 suggest. They cannot match quality of the squad with Serbia but their adavntage will be pitch in terrible conditions , so don't expect some beautiful football at this game. Serbia must win all 4 remaining matches in order to make appearance at EURO 2008. They are not so absolute favorites as they have lot of problems against teams from this part of the Europe in recent years. I still remmember embarrassing defeat in Azerbeijan in the last qualifications and even better defeat against Kazakhstan in the present battle. However, I believe Serbia will find the strenght to win this important game, I'm from Serbia I cannot think any different , but still I think Serbia will not win by more than 1 goal. So, my pick is Serbia to win by 1 goal, 3.65 @ Bwin, small stakes.
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Fleishman - Nishikori

September 30th 2007 22:57
American Zack Fleishman is less than average player. With his 27 years and 7 years of professional career he didn't win any title and currently he is on 141st place of ATP list. His achievements this season are not any better. He has best performances on hard surface , but even on hard he is rarely on second round of tournaments. So, definitely player in the sea of many players.

Nishikori from junior days


His opponent Kei Nishikori is currently on 251st place of ATP list , but he is a still teenager with his 17 years and this is his first season on pro tour. In previous matches he has fluctuating success but he already won over few players from top 100 , like Teimuraz Gabashvili or Michael Berrer. So, definitely player who has time on his side. Nishikori's favorite surface is also hard so he will put his best in this match. His disadvantage could be inexperience , but I believe it will be redeemed by home crowd support. It is his first time to play on some major event in Japan so it would be an extra motivation.

I will go for younger and perspective guy here. Kei Nishikori to win , 1.83 @ sportingbet. Good Luck !!!
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Verdasco - Dancevic

September 27th 2007 00:48
Fernando Verdasco won easily over David Martin in first round 6:2, 6:1. Like Kunitsyn he had luck in draw as his original opponent Joachim Johansson pulled out from tournament. Some month and half ago Verdasco played only match with Dancevic and lost 2:1 , but match was played on Dancevic's soil in Canada . Verdasco knows how to play against big servers and that could be his advantage today. Frank Dancevic eliminated Del Potro in first round after third set tie-breaker.



Dancevic is in good form lately and his main weapon is a serve , but like I already said Spaniard has a "cure" for big servers. However, I believe it will be a tight match and winner will probably be decided in third set and in my opinion Verdasco has slightly better chances to win this one I think this is a great chance for Verdasco to win and tie series with Dancevic. My pick is Verdasco to win ( 1.80 @ Pinnacle) .
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Igor Kunitsyn - Dominik Meffert

September 27th 2007 00:45
Kunitsyn ( ATP 81 ) had luck in a first round as his supposed opponent Djokovic retired from the tournament. Russian showed strong performances against George Bastl instead. Kunitsyn dominated from the beginning of the match and the winner was not questionable at all. Igor Kunitsyn didn't make some great achievements lately but he was unlucky in draws as at US Open he met Carlos Moya in second round and in China Tommy Robredo in quarters. But it looks he has much more draw luck in Bangkok so it could be his chance to make something more as Meffert is not some classy player.


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Zimonjic/Djokovic Vs. Hanley/Hewitt

September 22nd 2007 00:16
After day 1 result in Davis Cup match between Serbia and Australia is tied. Djokovic won his match against Luczak while Tipsarevic failed against former No1 Hewitt, although he had lead 2:1 in sets. It was my real pleasure to watch live tennis in Belgrade Arena yesterday. Today is very important match for both teams as win means there are just one more match for triumph.

Davis Cup: Djokovic Vs. Luczak , photo by Daressi

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Belgium Grand Prix

September 16th 2007 01:03
I didn't analyze any bet on Formula 1 this season , although I bet on regular basis in my private bets. But, today for Belgium Grand Prix I see potentially good bets on Polish driver Robert Kubica. Kubica experienced lot of problems during free practice and in qualifications. In the morning free practice session Kubica stopped on track due an engine failure. So, team engineers changed his engine and he make nice results on FP session 1 and 2 and more important in official qualifications.

Robert Kubica

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Davenport - Jankovic

September 13th 2007 22:03
Davenport is back in tennis world after almost one year pause. Lindsay Davenport made two pretty comfortable wins in Indonesia. In first round she eliminated Eleni Danilidou 6:2 6:2 and in second Julie Ditty 6:1 6:4. She perform pretty well, but still Danilidou and Ditty are not her class. Match against Jelena Jankovic will be her real test.


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Portugal - Serbia

September 12th 2007 01:16
At the beginning of qualifications Portugal and Serbia were considered as favorites to take position one and two in group A. But currently Portugal is on 3rd place one point above Serbia. Leaders Poland and Finland had one match more and 4 i.e 2 points more than Portugal. So, at least 2nd place is still an option for Portuguese and Serbian national squad.

Portugal are expecting this match after draw at home with Poland, while Serbia had disappointing 0:0 with Finland. In my opinion Portugal is overpriced today because Serbia is a team which could beat almost any team in Europe. Serbia didn't have good results in last two games but Zigic missed those matches and in Portugal he should start from the beginning. Yes, there are more stars in Portuguese selection but it looks they are not compatible in team. I see real chances for Serbia to stay unbeaten as they have quality to match with home team


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Djokovic - Federer

September 9th 2007 10:41
Probably the best two players in the world will meet in this final. Djokovic had pretty tough draw for this season US Open, but after elimination of Hewitt and Nadal things got much easier for Serbian player. Novak showed big mentally strenght from the beginning of the tournament when he won against Stepanek after almost 5 hours of play. After that match everything was just fine for him and he deservedly make appearance in his first GS Final.

Like many times before , Federer made easy walk thru tournament. His appearance in the final was not under question mark in any match played so far in New York. Maybe the most uncertain outcome was against Davydenko in semis , but at the end champ won it in three sets


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Djokovic to win US OPEN

September 7th 2007 23:05
Well, tournament is in semifinal stage and there are only two matches left for future champion of US Open.

In the first semifinal Djokovic will meet with Ferrer. Probably it wouldn't be an easy match for Djokovic as Ferrer has decent performances lately, but at the end Novak's quality should prevail. This is third straight GS semifinal for Djokovic and it's time to finally take his chances in final


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Recent Comments

Comment by Daressi
on The Simpsons Movie - A Fair Review...?

September 7th 2007 23:54
I'm not kindled with this movie. I like to watch Simpsons episodes but this is some kind of very, very long episode and for that reason movie is pretty "milk and water".

Also, there are some typical moments like Lisa's falling in love,for example, which is another boring and already seen element of this movie.

4 out of 10

Comment by Daressi
on Bjorkman-Mirnyi Vs. Zimonjic-Djokovic

August 17th 2007 22:55
I'm in good form , thanks for asking ...

Comment by Daressi
on My Top 10 of actors I cannot stand

August 16th 2007 22:34
My TOP 3

1. Ben Stiller

2. Adam Sandler

3. Hugh Grant

Cheap untalented bastards

Comment by Daressi
on Wayne Rooney suffers fractured foot

August 15th 2007 22:34
It's a major impact for Utd. Tevez can't play on such high level. He is new in squad and he need some time for adaptation on new team mates.

Comment by Daressi
on The Community Shield

August 15th 2007 22:29
For now it looks like an over 2.5 goals for me and I think Liverpool are slight favorites ...

Comment by Daressi
on FC Pyunik - Derry City

July 28th 2007 12:34
Yes, I had big private obligations . Actually , I've started my own dentist practice , so I didn't have much time for betting and my blog. Finally, first and very hard period is over so from now on I will update betshrink on regular basis.

Best regards,
Darko.

Comment by Daressi
on AZ Alkmaar - Werder

April 5th 2007 05:10
I believe AZ have strength to win , but in any case if they draw I will have my money back...

Thanks for comment , man .

Comment by Daressi
on Serbia - Portugal

March 29th 2007 22:05
Well, thanks

Comment by Daressi
on Djokovic - Nadal

March 18th 2007 16:15
Yes, Novak won easy against Andy, but Murray suffered from injury most of the time. Tonight Novak could prove his real strength. IMO it will be 50/50 match.

Comment by Daressi
on UEFA Cup , March 15

March 15th 2007 04:16
I hope AZ could qualify for another round. And I expect something like 3:0 or 3:1 , but I'm bit subjective ...

For my bet 2:1 would be just perfect