Bookies have got it wrong
October 3rd 2008 01:41
WHAT does it take in this day and age to earn favouritism?
Somehow, someway the Manly Sea Eagles are favourites for the NRL title on Sunday night which just blows my mind.
The most important statistic to look at when deciding favouritism is the record between the two sides in previous clashes. The Storm continue to show the Sea Eagles up so they tick that box.
The next thing to look at is form. The Eagles look to be in better form, but who have they played in recent weeks? They played a Warriors side who seemed to lack enthusiasm, but were obviously tired from about 13 weeks of do or die football. They did no play any other side who looked like winning a premiership.
On the other hand, the Storm played the Warriors when they were at there most dangerous and then played an in-form Brisbane Broncos before practically having a week off against the Sharks, which they needed to rest their troops. Again I would tick Melbourne in this box.
The only other real indication that matters is the injury and suspension toll of players. The Sea Eagles are fresh with no injuries, no suspensions and look great.
Melbourne has no real injuries other than Ryan Hoffman, but have skipper Cam Smith out due to suspension. So Manly get a tick in this box.
Although Cam Smith is out, that is only one player and the Storm has built a game over the years which does not rely purely on one player.
They showed last week that they are more than capable of playing great football without Mr Smith and I see no reason why they cannot do it again this week. If anything, I feel it could become an advantage at this time of year.
In the past months Melbourne has almost become predictable and the dummy half running by Cam Smith had less effect then it did two years ago. This change means other teams now will have to find a new way to shut the team down.
There is no doubt the Sea Eagles have lifted their game from last season and are in better shape than last season but to be the so called favourites is a joke.
In 10 years time, the records will show the Storm only won the minor premiership due to for and against. It will not show that they were more affected during the State Of Origin period than any other side and more or less had to forfeit three games which almost cost them the minor premiership.
Had State Of Origin not have been played they would have claimed the minor premiership by a landslide.
But no-one really cares about minor premiership and it is the big game in October which really matters.
Are the Sea Eagles a chance of winning on Sunday? You better believe it.
Should the Sea Eagles go in to the game as favourites? Not a chance.
My tip for the game on Sunday is that we will be watching Bill Murray in Groundhog Day. Same teams in the final and the same result this year. Melbourne to be comfortable winners.
Somehow, someway the Manly Sea Eagles are favourites for the NRL title on Sunday night which just blows my mind.
The most important statistic to look at when deciding favouritism is the record between the two sides in previous clashes. The Storm continue to show the Sea Eagles up so they tick that box.
The next thing to look at is form. The Eagles look to be in better form, but who have they played in recent weeks? They played a Warriors side who seemed to lack enthusiasm, but were obviously tired from about 13 weeks of do or die football. They did no play any other side who looked like winning a premiership.
On the other hand, the Storm played the Warriors when they were at there most dangerous and then played an in-form Brisbane Broncos before practically having a week off against the Sharks, which they needed to rest their troops. Again I would tick Melbourne in this box.
The only other real indication that matters is the injury and suspension toll of players. The Sea Eagles are fresh with no injuries, no suspensions and look great.
Melbourne has no real injuries other than Ryan Hoffman, but have skipper Cam Smith out due to suspension. So Manly get a tick in this box.
Although Cam Smith is out, that is only one player and the Storm has built a game over the years which does not rely purely on one player.
They showed last week that they are more than capable of playing great football without Mr Smith and I see no reason why they cannot do it again this week. If anything, I feel it could become an advantage at this time of year.
In the past months Melbourne has almost become predictable and the dummy half running by Cam Smith had less effect then it did two years ago. This change means other teams now will have to find a new way to shut the team down.
There is no doubt the Sea Eagles have lifted their game from last season and are in better shape than last season but to be the so called favourites is a joke.
In 10 years time, the records will show the Storm only won the minor premiership due to for and against. It will not show that they were more affected during the State Of Origin period than any other side and more or less had to forfeit three games which almost cost them the minor premiership.
Had State Of Origin not have been played they would have claimed the minor premiership by a landslide.
But no-one really cares about minor premiership and it is the big game in October which really matters.
Are the Sea Eagles a chance of winning on Sunday? You better believe it.
Should the Sea Eagles go in to the game as favourites? Not a chance.
My tip for the game on Sunday is that we will be watching Bill Murray in Groundhog Day. Same teams in the final and the same result this year. Melbourne to be comfortable winners.
| 81 |
| Vote |


Add Comments
Comments (1)
Read More